Locks
MLB (0.75 Unit) Philadelphia Philies -1.5 @ Miami Marlins (+110): 12:40 PM CT on Bally Sports FL
Fading Trevor Rogers at home has been one of the more profitable approaches you can take to this baseball season so far. Rogers has been consistently knocked around in Miami all year, with the Marlins winning just two of his home starts. Of the other six losses, five have come by a multiple run margin, and I’m seeing another today.
The oversized 7.27 home ERA and .313 on-base average allowed for Rogers will translate to plenty of offense for Philadelphia, a team that’s better against lefty pitching anyway. That should be more than enough support for Phillies ace Aaron Nola to work with. Nola has dominated this weak Marlins lineup in his career, only allowing a .160 average and .403 OPS to them.
And Miami has really struggled at the plate lately, scoring just 2.3 runs per game over the past two weeks. That should only get worse against Nola and won’t be enough to offset their own struggling starter, so I see Philly rolling here.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 808-677 ATS (+76.5 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
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