Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 10/14

Locks

NCAA Football (0.5 Unit) Oregon Team Total Over 31.5 (-110; Odds via DraftKings): 2:30 PM CT on ABC

I've been waiting for this game all season. Two of the best offenses Square off in what should be a shootout, with no less than CFP chances on the line. But the way Oregon is built offensively makes theirs the offense that should have the biggest advantage. The Ducks and their elite run game should go right over and through the Washington defense all game.

This is also the most efficient offense in the country, having the best success at avoiding momentum killers like turnovers, missed field goals, and missed 4th down conversions that hurt scoring. With a trio of excellent backs and Bo Nix's ability on the ground, they should carve up a Huskies defense that's outside the top 100 for deeper run defense metrics. I even feel better about Road Bo Nix than in previous years, so I'll count on him and the Ducks to pile up points today.

NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) Kansas -3 @ Oklahoma State (-110): 2:30 PM CT on FS1

I’ll keep short and sweet here. Head Coach Lance Leipold has this KU team back on the map and I don’t see them letting that slip this week. This number is heavily discounted in my opinion due to quarterback Jalon Daniels  once again expected to miss this game due to a back injury. Insert Jason Bean. Bean got thrown into duty against a juggernaut Longhorn team but since has played well enough to get Kansas a couple of wins and I expect him to do the same today against a Oklahoma State defense that is very beatable, even on the road.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 1550-1391 ATS (+79.2 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks