Locks
NCAA Football (0.5 Unit) Jacksonville St/Middle Tennessee Over 51.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on ESPNU
There’s interesting movement, or lack thereof, on the total in this game. Despite a lot of more public models projecting this to be a game in the 40’s for total points, the number has refused to dip below where it is now. That kind of resistance on a lower-tier college game on Wednesday night signals smart money believes 51.5 is an important number, and I don’t agree with the lower-scoring projections considering the pace we should see.
Jacksonville State is running plays at the third-fastest rate in the country, with Middle Tennessee fairly fast as well at 39th in tempo. The Gamecocks found something last week with Logan Smothers in the passing game, engineering a big comeback against a good defense. They should be able to keep that up against a Blue Raiders secondary ranked 104th against the pass.
MTSU meanwhile should bounce back offensively being at home, with their quick short passing game finding holes against a Jacksonville defense that hasn’t really been tested. With enough success from the offenses, a fast pace should see this game generate plenty of scoring.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 1541-1384 ATS (+79.1 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
Think you could write a story like this? Hockey Wilderness wants you to develop your voice, find an audience, and we'll pay you to do it. Just fill out this form.
Recommended Comments
There are no comments to display.