Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks: 04/11

Locks

NBA (1 Unit) NY Knicks -2.5 @ Boston Celtics (-115; Odd via BetMGM): 6:30 PM CT on TNT

I’m following the money on this one, and I expect it to be correctly anticipating the injury situation for Boston tonight. The Knicks moved from a full possession underdog to a full possession favorite, something that doesn’t happen without high confidence that stars are sitting out. All of Boston’s big names are listed as questionable, but there’s no reason for them to play here. The Knicks have been crushing teams anyway with OG Anunoby back in the lineup and need this game to hold onto the #3 seed, so I think they win easily tonight against the Celtic bench.

MLB (0.5 Unit) Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox First 5 innings Under 4.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:10 PM CT on NESN

There are two excellent starters going in this game, and they should continue the trend of low-scoring starts to games for these teams. Grayson Rodriguez and Garrett Whitlock have both had a couple strong outings to begin the year, allowing 4 runs total in their 4 combined starts. Plus, the Red Sox and Orioles have done more scoring in the back half of games than in the first 5 innings, both overall and against each other in this series. With cool temperatures and a breeze blowing in at Fenway tonight, I’m expecting another slow start that stays under this early total.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Tiny Nick is 2194-1990 ATS (+97.1 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage. 

Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.