Locks
NBA Player Prop Picks - Minnesota Timberwolves @ Utah Jazz: 8:00 PM CT on Bally Sports North
Once again the injury situation is delaying prop numbers from being posted for most of what I’m targeting. But I’m going after the numbers that will eventually come up for Naz Reid and Nickeil Alexander-Walker again. When you see these lines posted, I really don’t care what the number is, I expect them to go over against a collapsing Jazz team.
1 Unit – Mike Conley Over 19.5 Points+Assists
1 Unit – Naz Reid Over Points+Rebounds
1 Unit – Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over Points+Rebounds+Assists
NBA (1 Unit) Atlanta Hawks/LA Lakers Over 226 (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 9:30 PM CT on SportsNet LA
Ignore the appearance of Atlanta playing defense last night against the Clippers. Ridiculously poor shooting from LA is a serious outlier stat against the league’s worst team for opponent effective field goal percentage. That should normalize tonight against the other LA team who is 3rd in the league for shooting percentage, and I think it helps fuel another high-scoring Lakers game.
With the Hawks on no rest and both teams top-5 in tempo this season, we should see plenty of pace and poor defense. Unders may be the league-wide trend since the All Star break, but not for the Lakers. They’ve reeled off an 11-1 record over tonight’s total since the break, and I see another one tonight.
Degenerates
No degenerates today.
Tiny Nick is 2145-1932 ATS (+103.2 Units) on his Locks since joining Zone Coverage.
Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are the games he’s confident in. Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.
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