Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 06/19

Locks

NBA (0.75 Unit) Indiana Pacers 1st Half Team Total Over 54.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:30 PM CT on ABC

It’s obviously do or die for Indiana here, and so I would expect their best effort coming into this game. Even potentially without Tyrese Haliburton, this offense is still a dangerous, high-octane one, and might actually flow better without a hobbled and struggling Haliburton. There’s just something different about the OKC defense on the road too, even in a closeout scenario tonight. They allowed the Pacers to hang 64 and 60 first half points in Games 3 and 4 before locking down in the second halves. This is too much of a discount from that production level, with or without Haliburton, so expect a big early number from a team that has to rely on their offense.

Bonus Prop Picks (Odds via DraftKings):

0.75 Unit – Jalen Williams Over 23.5 Points (-110)

0.75 Unit – Pascal Siakam Over 21.5 Points (-110)

0.25 Unit – Aaron Nesmith Alt Over 2.5 Made Three’s (+140)

MLB (0.75 Unit) Houston Astros/Athletics Over 10.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 9:05 PM CT on SCHN

This game will hinge on getting baserunners home, because there should be a lot of opportunities. Both of these teams are starting a lefthander tonight, and not very impressive ones either, which puts both offenses in their preferred hitting split. The Astros are 2nd and the Athletics 8th in batting average against lefties, along with 1st and 9th in OPS, plus 1st and 11th in weighted on-base average.

The only problem is converting runs, as both squads are pretty far down the scoring rankings. But that’s where the beauty of this minor league park comes in, with excellent hitting conditions again tonight, and two overworked bullpens ready to give up what the starters don’t. Houston is locked in offensively with double-digit runs the past two nights in this scoring-friendly ballpark, so look for another busy night on the scoreboard.

Bonus Bet (0.5 Unit): Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Total Bases (-105; Odds via DraftKings)

Pena is red hot this month, averaging 2.3 bases per game which is pretty remarkable. His ability to get on base and steal them makes for great opportunity in the total bases market. He also benefits from a lefty starter going for the A’s, batting .368 with .941 OPS against southpaws on the year, so look for him to build on a big night at the plate yesterday.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 14-18 (-1.72 Units) – Recommend: Tail

Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.