Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 06/17

Locks

MLB (0.5 Unit) Same-Game Parlay (+275; Odds via DraftKings): 6:35 PM CT on MASN2

Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases (-125)

Henderson deserves to be a minus price in the total bases market here, as he’s on fire and crushes Zach Littell who will start for Tampa. It’s a moderate sample size of 15 at-bats for Henderson against Littell, resulting in 7 hits, a double, 2 homers, a .467 average and 1.463 OPS. The Oriole shortstop is on a tear this month too, recording a hit in 12 of 14 games while batting .373 and racking up 1.9 bases per game. It will be perfect hitting conditions at the minor league park tonight, so look for Henderson to go over this prop but tie it to this next one to avoid laying juice.

Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases (+110)

I’m surprise Lowe isn’t laying juice on this prop given the run he’s on. Books haven’t adjusted to his current stretch, as he’s batting .309 in June with 2.1 bases per game which is a big step up from earlier in the season. That should continue tonight against Orioles starter Dean Kremer, who might be knocked around by everyone in the Rays lineup since he’s been so bad on the road. But Lowe specifically has had a lot of success against him with a .444 average and 1.361 OPS, so given his current form I see the Rays second baseman having a big night to cash this SGP.

WNBA (0.5 Unit) Las Vegas Aces @ Minnesota Lynx -13.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 7:00 PM CT on Fanduel Sports North

I’m very late to the steam party here and getting the worst of the number, but I have to have faith in the Lynx tonight. This spread raced up on the news that A’Ja Wilson would remain out for tonight’s game, and the Aces just aren’t that competitive without her. Let’s remember that this is a Commissioner’s Cup game where margin of victory matters for a team like the Lynx who are in the driver’s seat to represent the West, so they’re incentivized to stomp Vegas here. After their performance on Saturday in getting back on track after finally losing a game, I’m convinced that they are looking to blow teams out, and doing it to an Aces squad that used to be so dominant would be a good statement.

WNBA (0.75 Unit) Atlanta Dream @ NY Liberty -5 First Half (-110; Odds via Caesars): 6:00 PM CT on WWOR

The Liberty finally lost a game themselves, falling to Indiana in Caitlin Clark’s return on Saturday, which is not unreasonable. New York was without Jonquel Jones for that game, and her expected return tonight gives them a big boost and helps with this bounce back opportunity. Much like the Lynx on Saturday in their first game after a loss, I would expect the Liberty to be fired up and looking to make a statement. Atlanta being relatively hot right now serves to hold down the spread tonight, but a Liberty team that’s been extremely dominant in first halves at home should jump out to a big early lead.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 16-16 (+0.98 Units) – Recommend: Tail

Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.