Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 05/27

Locks

NBA (0.5 Unit) NY Knicks @ Indiana Pacers First Quarter ML (-115; Odds via DraftKings): 7:00 PM CT on TNT

A massive collapse leading to a key loss tends to – and should in this instance – light a fire under a team for the start of their next game. Just look at the Knicks after their historic collapse down the stretch of Game 1 in this series, coming out and taking a lead after a quarter in the next game, even though it didn’t last. That’s what I’m banking on with the Pacers here, who can’t afford to get complacent here with the Knicks now having a pulse in this series. Indiana was one of the better first quarter home teams this season with a plus-1.9 average margin, and I see them bouncing back out of the gates tonight.

Bonus Bet (0.5 Unit): Karl-Anthony Towns Over 33.5 Points+Rebounds (-110; Odds via DraftKings)

Towns would’ve fallen short of this total for the second straight game if not for a massive fourth quarter to lead the Game 3 comeback. Oh wow, inconsistency out of KAT, never seen that before as a Wolves fan. I have to hope that he found something in that fourth quarter eruption, and count on his incredibly strong history against the Pacers this season to get him over this total again.

MLB (1 Unit) Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120; Odds via DraftKings): 7:05 PM CT on COLR

Night games are still relatively rare at Wrigley, but Crow-Armstrong doesn’t care what time of day it is, he’s pretty much crushing everything right now. He might actually prefer a night game as his average and OPS tick up a bit in those contests. Rockies starter German Marquez would definitely prefer a day game at Wrigley, as he has compiled a 13.02 ERA and .409 on-base average allowed at night this season, and has been horrible on the road with a 11.12 ERA and .362 on-base average allowed.

So PCA should have plenty of opportunity against one of the worst starters in the majors right now, and he’s also due for a bounce back. The Cubs center fielder went 0-for-4 last night, which wasn’t too surprising against a lefthanded starter. But he always seems to bounce back well, having 6 instances this month where he went hitless and coming back with multiple bases in all of the following games. This guy is crushing everything right now, so having a meatballer like Marquez on the mound and a plus-juice return is too good not to jump on.

MLB (0.5 Unit) LA Angels First 5 Innings Team Total Under 1.5 (-105; Odds via Caesars): 8:38 PM CT on YES

Carlos Rodon has definitely settled in after a rough first half of April, and things should get even easier for him tonight. The Yankee lefty has only allowed multiple runs twice in his past 7 starts, shutting down several teams that struggle against lefthanded pitching. Not many teams struggle against lefties as much as LA does, with the Angels ranking 28th in scoring and average, plus dead last in weighted runs created this season. Their hot hitting streak has also come to a screeching halt with only 3 total runs the past 3 games, so look for another slow start from them tonight against a high-level pitcher.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 13-15 (-3.00 Units) – Recommend: Tail With Caution

Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.