Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 05/26

Locks

NBA (1 Unit) Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points (-110; Odds via DraftKings): 7:30 PM CT on ESPN

Books don’t seem to be treating Randle’s Game 2 milk carton performance as a one-off. Well, I am, and with this lower number once again I’m going right back to the most reliable prop angle there’s been in these playoffs. Remember that Randle’s 24-point game on Saturday left plenty of room for more as he hit the bench with 9 minutes left, so he’s been able to put some huge scoring spurts together in Games 1 and 3 of the series. That spurt-ability makes reaching a prop total like this much easier, and I think he does it again tonight.

Bonus Bets (0.5 Unit Each) Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 Made Three’s & Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 1.5 Made Three’s (-110; Odds via DraftKings)

The Thunder were vulnerable to corner three’s all season, so it makes sense to back two of Minnesota’s best corner three shooters. Both Jaden and NAW get plenty of looks on those shots, and they were big parts of the role player resurgence in Game 3, looking far more comfortable in Target Center. The three-point volume in general will be there for the Wolves, and only needing two each from these guys are good bets.

MLB (0.75 Unit) Carson Palmquist Over 5.5 Hits Allowed (+110; Odds via DraftKings): 1:20 PM CT on Marquee

I just have to find a way to fade the Rockies in this game. But the moneyline is preposterous, the runline is juiced to the moon, and even the Chicago team totals are prohibitively juiced. Colorado starter Carson Palmquist should get knocked around though, as the Cubs are one of baseball's best against lefties. They rank 3rd in batting average, and second in both OPS and wOBA against lefthanded pitching, and the rookie Palmquist has been rough through two starts against teams that aren’t as good as the Cubs. So with a plus-juice return for once, I think he gives up plenty of base knocks today.

Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit): Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 Total Bases (+120; Odds via DraftKings)

Speaking of plus-juice returns, this one definitely has my attention. Hoerner is a big reason why the Cubs are crushing lefty pitching, as he’s posted a .357 average and .911 OPS against them this season. With a weak starter and even weaker bullpen, look for Nico to have a big day at the plate.

Extra Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit): Seiya Suzuki Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115; Odds via DraftKings)

Oh look, another plus-juice price, they do exist for this game! Suzuki has been an even bigger part of the success against lefties for Chicago, posting a .370 average and 1.271 OPS against them. Plus he’s been on a tear lately, averaging 3.5 bases per game in his past 10 games, so he’s in a great spot to go off today.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 12-13 (-1.65 Units) – Recommend: Tail

Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.