Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 01/01

Locks

College Football Playoff (1 Unit) 2-Team Moneyline Parlay (+100; Odds via Caesars)

Indiana Moneyline (-250) vs Alabama: 3:00 PM CT on ESPN

Just because Ohio State went down last night, don’t worry about the Big Ten, they’re in good hands with Indiana today. The Hoosiers are for real, whether college football traditionalists want to admit it or not, and they present a really tough matchup for Alabama in this quarterfinal.

It starts with the IU defense that is one of the best all-around units out there, and will completely shut the Tide out of their ground game. Alabama already has a tough time running the ball, but now they’ll make Ty Simpson have to beat them through the air, while getting an excellent pass rush in his face every play. The Hoosiers lead the country in Havoc, and rank second in tackles for loss, so Bama should find themselves behind the chains often.

I don’t think they can return the favor, as the Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza has been able to keep this offense on schedule in every game this season. It’s also supposed to be wet at the Rose Bowl, giving an advantage to the team that can run it which is IU, so give me the surprising Hoosiers to advance today.

Georgia Moneyline (-240) vs Ole Miss: 7:00 PM CT on ESPN

This is a game where I think talent is just too overwhelming on the Georgia side, and wins out over motivation that Ole Miss is bringing. Credit to the Rebels for looking great without Lane Kiffin, and proving a little bit that they don’t need him, but in reality they do need him for a matchup like this.

Kiffin’s playcalling in the first meeting this season netted Ole Miss 5 touchdowns on their first 5 possessions, an incredible feat against an elite Georgia defense. But without Kiffin this offense’s potential simply isn’t as high, while the UGA defense has greatly improved as the season goes on. The Bulldogs simply don’t miss tackles, and their problems in the secondary have improved, so they’re in a good position to shut down the run-heavy Rebels.

Georgia’s offense is also on the rise, and presents real schematic issues for the Ole Miss defense that struggles to stop inside zone runs. Ole Miss also has issues preventing red zone success, and Georgia ranks second nationally in turning red zone trips into end zone visits. Georgia pulled out a one-possession win in the first meeting despite that early success from Ole Miss, so with both teams moving in opposite directions, give me the Bulldogs to move on to the semis.

NBA (1 Unit) Utah Jazz @ LA Clippers -12.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 9:30 PM CT on Fanduel Sports SC

The Jazz are catching the Clippers at exactly the wrong time, at least if you think Utah wants to win games which I don’t. I’m quite sure the Clippers remember opening night this season, a game where they went to Utah and were shocked 129-108 in a sign of things to come for the next couple months. But now things have turned around for LA, and I think they take this opportunity to destroy another team, this time with revenge on their mind.

The Clippers are just red hot, both offensively and defensively, watching their offensive rating soar while holding their past 5 opponents to 97.6 points per game. The Jazz can score, but both Lauri Markkanen and Keyonte George are iffy for this game, so Utah might really be in trouble. The Clippers seemed to enjoy running the Kings out by 41 on Tuesday, and another pitiful defensive squad here should be an easy victim again, so I say they roll.

Degenerates

No degenerates today.

Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 32-32 (+0.15 Units) – Recommend: Tail With Extreme Caution

Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks.